April 22, 2007

Live blogging from CNN tonight to comment the French presidential race first round results

Posted at 16:51 | | 8 Comments | View blog reactions

Cnnimage

Will on the CNN special French elections tonight from 18h to 23h Paris time to comment the elections and live blogging from their Champs Elysées studio, I have not blogged politics for almost two months but will make an exception tonight.
-arrived at CNN, Bloggers page up
-Heiko just edited a picture I just moblogged
-Just heard the last conversation on CNN between Hala Gorani and IHT editor in Paris they discuss the "French uneasiness" the anti-americanism that Segolène Royal stressed during the campaign (I am not making this one up, promise), France being stuck because of too much protection and people not scared about losing their jobs because they can't
France is one of the country that is the most afraid of globalization.
Americans don't care much about the French election


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My comment before the results:
France had a choice between four main choices:
1. staying in the current over employee protection situation, less work fear of globalization, focus on the past represented by Segolene Royal
2. accepting to move on, focus on work (end of the 35 hours a week law), flexibility less Government in everything, more entrepreneurship, the Sarkozy vote
3. the neutral vote, in-between, of Bayrou
4. the protest vote, Le Pen

I am confident the Country has chosen to move-on as a first choice, Bayrou was a media bubble. The second round will be very close for the two winners which I expect to be Sarkozy and Royal.

update with a first estimate:
Sarkozy: 30
Royal: 26
Bayrou: 13
Le Pen: 11

You can watch CNN online here:
http://www.viewmy.tv/view.aspx?srcid=3051

(In-browser, no downloads, free, full screen or mini mode, there's also an embed for blogs!)

peter, April 22, 2007 at 16:16

thanks Peter !

Loic, April 22, 2007 at 16:48

Bonjour

Good to see you on CNN and to find your blog.

Have a good night.

Bon blogging,

Geoff Pound
United Arab Emirates

Geoff Pound, April 22, 2007 at 19:59

I am encouraged that Sarkozy won what is probably the highest score for a "RPR now UMP" candidate in the first round for the last 20 years. I am concerned about what Bayrou's supporters will do next with their votes, given that they didn't really think that through in the first round. Many socialists voted Bayrou believing he would have a better chance to beat Sarkozy in the second round...

Royal, since she has no program that any decent economist would support is building an "all but Sarkozy" coalition. I watched the live BBC 24 coverage of the elections (no CNN thank you...) and apparently, French people now understand that they need to change if they want to survive in the 21st century. Royal is positioning herself as the agent of "gentle change" as opposed to Sarkozy's more "brutal" methods.

Mathematically, if Sarkozy does not win Bayrou's voters, he will lose to Royal. Now imagine France as a car whose handbrake has been released, sliding slowly downhill towards a cliff. Voting Royal is like pressing the accelerator with both feet.

Joel Cere, April 22, 2007 at 23:04

I'm not a Sarkozy fan, like Loic and Joel (previous post) but I'm not a fan of Segolene Royal. In the USA, it's not a problem to talk about politics if you support a candidate (see Fox News). I think this is different in France. Loic is clearly supporting Sarkozy and his point of view is not objective.

I think that Loic has already won a very good job if Sarkozy wins. And for that reason, it's really laughable to read that Sarkozy will focus on work. I think Loic is focused on his future job, and that's the only truth here.

stef, April 23, 2007 at 09:43

quote:

"1. staying in the current over employee protection situation, less work fear of globalization, focus on the past represented by Segolene Royal
2. accepting to move on, focus on work (end of the 35 hours a week law), flexibility less Government in everything, more entrepreneurship, the Sarkozy vote"

more biased than this, you die

anonymous, April 23, 2007 at 21:29

I missed the broadcast, Loic, but kudos on your participation. We were watching TV5 from southern California, where there was strong support for Sarkozy among those who participated in the ex-pat vote on Saturday.

marsha, April 24, 2007 at 06:32

Now Sarkozy is a president, but we can hardly say that our expectations prove.

French Translator, October 03, 2007 at 11:52

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